How to Prevent a 2nd American Civil War
Bullets fly overhead.
“Take cover!”
Up ahead you see your drunk friend Fred throw a grenade, “To whom it may concern!”
Pop.
Pop.
Pop.
He collapses to the ground and looks at you, “Tell my family I love them.”
You kneel beside him and say, “I wish I could buddy, but we killed them too.”
How did we get to this?
There’s no one path to Civil War II, but here’s what I think would be the two most likely scenarios…
Scenario 1: Theft
The opposition promises to throw the incumbent in prison if they win.
Lock him up! Lock him up! Lock him up!
The incumbent believes them.
He then plays to the public’s fears by saying that if he peacefully transfers power to the opposition he doesn’t think they’ll transfer it back when they lose so to preempt this he not so subtly “rigs the election.”
According to a survey, 69% of the “political obsessed elite” think it’s okay to steal an election if they knew they would’t be caught (this result is so explosive it should be verified by additional surveys but nonetheless we can apply it to this hypothetical scenario).
After all, if you believed your opponents were fascists would you give them the keys to a nuclear AI surveillance state?
Protests then break out with the help of foreign funding.
The incumbent kills some protestors.
In some states, the police and politicians turn a blind eye to the increasingly violent protests, which then form militias, which then form a coalition to try to inaugurate the “legitimate” winner.
When people lose faith in the ballot they turn to the bullet.
I put “legitimate” in quotes because if everyone agreed he won there’d be no need for war.
Many of the foreign funders hope the war becomes a stalemate resulting in a disunited states of America.
Scenario 2: Tyranny
Gridlock for the people; “progress” for the elite.
The middle class hallows out.
A populist rises up promising, “All for all!”
After winning, he reforms the deep state, cracks down on crime, and redistributes wealth enough to give the average American a higher quality of life.
He loves the way power makes him feel.
And the people love him!
4 more years! 4 more years! 4 more years!
An emergency breaks out (pandemic, war, natural disaster, depression, etc.) that he uses as a pretext to repeal the 22nd Amendment.
Viva la democracy!
After his umpteenth term, he dies in office.
RIP.
He’s succeeded by a much harsher guy.
This incumbent doubles down on suppressing his opposition by weakening human & property rights, which causes evermore people & businesses to flee so he triples down on force to try to stop the brain drain.
After his umpteenth term, he dies in office.
Yeah!
He’s succeeded by a moderate.
He tries to increase economic growth again by restrengthening human & property rights, but there’s so much bad blood between the people and the government that once we feel sufficiently empowered we’d move to overthrow it.
Sic Semper Tyrannis!
How to Prevent Civil War?
Strong voter ID laws, but our oligarchy likes to poo-poo them because they want to lower the barriers to voting as much as possible to maximize the low-information vote.
Simplify the law. It’s estimated the average person breaks 3 laws a day so imagine how many laws a president “breaks” whereby his opposition could throw the book at him.
Reduce the overall size of government, but not so much that it’s unable to check large globalist corporations.
Widespread self-sufficient property ownership because such owners are far more willing to speak the truth to power because if they don’t get a corporate, academic, or government gig they could always return to their farm whereas indebted “experts” are one pronoun away from not even being able to bag groceries because their degree has made them “overqualified.”
Keep the foreign-born population under 15%, especially those that are poor because they’re the most susceptible to scamming politicos.
Patriotic civics education to serve as a solid unifying base.
Appoint genuine justices who enforce what the Constitution actually means rather than what they wish it to mean.
In the end, there’s been 200+ civil wars since 1800 so given the multitude of ways they can arise we must stay vigilant for the sake of global freedom by taking an all-of-the-above approach because if we fall then we could pull the whole world down with us, which at the end of the day, the single most important characteristic for maintaining a strong unified republic is a broad informed middle class.